SpaceX’s pending $60 billion stock deal for Cursor’s parent Anysphere could mark a pivot from selling compute to building a vertically integrated AI platform, according to Morgan Stanley. The bank projects Cursor’s ARR could double to $8 billion by year-end 2026 and reach roughly $33 billion by 2030, with enterprise clients providing up to 80% of revenue. Integration with Grok, X’s real-time data, SpaceXAI infrastructure and Starlink connectivity—and potential collaboration with Tesla—could position SpaceX to develop proprietary, frontier-level models. Morgan Stanley rates SpaceX Overweight with a $300 price target and a $600 bull case, while flagging risks from open-source competition, falling model prices, reliance on third-party providers and margin pressure. Key catalysts include the acquisition close, Q3 disclosures, new Grok releases and updates on Cursor’s recurring revenue trajectory.




























