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AI puts entry-level office jobs at risk, pushing more Gen Z toward skilled trades

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As artificial intelligence squeezes entry-level office roles, more young Americans are bypassing college for the skilled trades. Surveys show student debt fears and job-security concerns are driving Gen Z toward work they see as harder to automate—electricians, plumbers and HVAC technicians—while they view software and accounting as more vulnerable. College also looks pricier: the average annual cost tops $38,000 and can hit nearly $60,000 at private schools; with interest and foregone earnings, a bachelor’s degree can exceed $500,000. Labor-market data underscore the shift: unemployment for 23- to 27-year-old college grads has risen to about 4.6% from 3.2% in 2019, while non-college peers have seen only modest increases, according to St. Louis Fed analysis. Employers say stigma around “blue-collar” work is fading, with applicants prioritizing field roles that AI can’t perform. Some young tradespeople are building businesses early: a 23-year-old Arizona electrician projects $150,000 in revenue this year. High school programs report waitlists for welding, construction and auto shop as students chase paychecks and perceived security over diplomas.

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— Average Cost of College
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