A decade of worker shortfalls in construction is colliding with a potential AI shock to entry-level office roles. Contractors report widespread difficulty hiring—92% struggled to fill positions and nearly half delayed projects—while industry groups say up to 499,000 additional workers could be needed in 2026, and as many as 723,000 annually. With roughly 41% of today’s construction workforce set to retire by 2031 and immigration flows constrained, pay has surged on data-center projects, sometimes 25% to 30%. As interest rates decline and incentives spur new building, demand is likely to rebound sharply. Rising trade-school enrollments—up double digits in construction programs—suggest young workers are following the money to jobs where AI can’t easily replace them.
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